Hobsonphile Weekly
Thursday, October 02, 2003
QUICK SHOT: I've been following some hot job leads of late- hence the momentary hiatus. However, I wanted to pop in for a moment tonight to direct you all to Andrew Sullivan's analysis on the Iraq situation. Go there. Go there now. It is under the heading "READ THE REPORT".
Wednesday, September 24, 2003
I've changed this site from a daily to a weekly blog so I can spend more time writing my entries. The next entry should be published at the end of the week.
Friday, September 19, 2003
AFTERMATH: Here on high ground, we were spared the worst of the damage. Some limbs came down- a neighbor's tree was cracked in half- and a few pieces of siding were blown off some nearby houses. During the height of the storm, some of the wind gusts were strong enough to make the entire house shake- my brother says that's when he first started getting nervous. We lost power for a few hours last night, but electricity is now restored.
Compared to others in the area, we were very fortunate:
Articles:
The Effects of TS Isabel in the District
Boil/Conserve Water Advisory for Northern VA
Flooding in Northern VA
Compared to others in the area, we were very fortunate:
Articles:
The Effects of TS Isabel in the District
Boil/Conserve Water Advisory for Northern VA
Flooding in Northern VA
Wednesday, September 17, 2003
Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 47
Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003
...Large Hurricane Isabel closing in on the coast...
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina
to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle
sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane
Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the
warning area...generally within 24 hours.
All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion in the Hurricane Warning area.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to
South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to
Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm
Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith
Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.
At 5 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located
near latitude 31.1 north... longitude 73.3 west or about 315 miles
south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.
Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 14 mph. A turn to
the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior
to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is
expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day
Thursday. However...the precise timing and location of landfall is
uncertain...and conditions will deteriorate over a large area well
before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are
expected to reach the coastline tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts.
Isabel is a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane
scale. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to
landfall.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 315 miles.
The most recent minimum central pressure measured by an Air Force
reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft was 955 mb...28.20 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels...
along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is
expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the
coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels
is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent
rivers.
Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher
amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.
There is the threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North
Carolina tonight and Thursday.
Repeating the 5 PM EDT position...31.1 N... 73.3 W. Movement
toward...north-northwest near 14 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 955 mb.
For storm-related information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office...and statements from
local emergency management officials.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 8 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 11 PM
EDT.
Forecaster Franklin
My younger brother's forecast has Isabel making the northwest turn a little later and tracking closer to DC. We shall see.
Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003
...Large Hurricane Isabel closing in on the coast...
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina
to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle
sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane
Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the
warning area...generally within 24 hours.
All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion in the Hurricane Warning area.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to
South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to
Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm
Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith
Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.
At 5 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located
near latitude 31.1 north... longitude 73.3 west or about 315 miles
south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.
Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 14 mph. A turn to
the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior
to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is
expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day
Thursday. However...the precise timing and location of landfall is
uncertain...and conditions will deteriorate over a large area well
before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are
expected to reach the coastline tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts.
Isabel is a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane
scale. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to
landfall.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the
center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 315 miles.
The most recent minimum central pressure measured by an Air Force
reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft was 955 mb...28.20 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels...
along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is
expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the
coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels
is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent
rivers.
Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher
amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.
There is the threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North
Carolina tonight and Thursday.
Repeating the 5 PM EDT position...31.1 N... 73.3 W. Movement
toward...north-northwest near 14 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 955 mb.
For storm-related information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office...and statements from
local emergency management officials.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 8 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 11 PM
EDT.
Forecaster Franklin
My younger brother's forecast has Isabel making the northwest turn a little later and tracking closer to DC. We shall see.
Tuesday, September 16, 2003
HURRICANE WATCHES NOW POSTED: Isabel has weakened to a Category 2. However, the most recent discussion from the NHC forecasts some intensification before landfall. The current forecast takes the storm west of my location and further inland. Preparations have begun in the DC area.
Monday, September 15, 2003
STORM TRACKING, II: Isabel has weakened to a Category 3 with the 5 PM advisory. This was predicted by most models. It has also begun to turn northwest, making a mid-Atlantic strike increasingly likely.
Sunday, September 14, 2003
